Scratch Smart Texas

Scratch-off game calculated ranking system

Get push alerts when new alerts fire — included with your subscription.

⚙️ Filters & Goal — pick what matters to you ▲ hide
Statewide estimates only — does not predict your store's packs or change fixed odds. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER. 18+
Smart play means losing less and spending on purpose — no tool can make scratch-offs a winning bet. These are habits that shift the small edges in your favor. Your rankings above already do the math on which games are richest right now.

1. Buy one at a time, then move

When you want several of the same game, never buy the whole batch at once. Buy a single ticket and scratch it before deciding the next move:

2. Ask the clerk two questions

The person behind the counter can see things the website can't — your rankings are statewide, but a single roll is local.

Clerks aren't required to answer and won't always know — but it costs nothing to ask, and the answer can save you from a drained roll.

3. Higher-priced tickets usually lose you less

As a rule, a $20, $30, or $50 ticket returns more of each dollar than a $1 or $2 ticket. The state keeps a bigger cut on cheap tickets. So spending $20 on one higher-tier ticket typically bleeds less than spending $20 on ten $2 tickets.

"Usually" is the key word — that's exactly what the EV per $1 number on each card measures (how many cents of each dollar comes back on average). Don't assume; let the ranker show you which specific games beat their price tier right now.

4. Chase concentration, watch closings

The Concentration number compares how likely the top prize is now versus when the game launched. Above 1.4x means the big prizes are unusually loaded into the tickets still out there.

When a game is closing soon but still has top prizes unclaimed, those prizes are spread across far fewer remaining tickets — your best window. The alerts banner flags these automatically.

The honest part

Every scratch-off is a negative-value bet — over time the game keeps more than it pays. None of this changes the fixed odds printed on a ticket. It only helps you pick the better-stocked games and quit the drained ones. If it stops being fun, stop. 1-800-GAMBLER. Must be 18+.

Every number on a game card is explained below — what it means and, more importantly, why you'd care. You don't need any of this to use the app (just pick a goal and read the top of the list), but it's here when you want to understand the "why."

The goal buttons & sliders

Picking a goal (or moving a slider) tells the app how much to care about four different things when it ranks games. The sliders always add up to 100% — they're shares of your attention, not separate scores.

"Grand-prize chance" is driven by the Concentration number below — not by "Top Prize Odds Now." Concentration asks "is now a good moment?", odds ask "what are the raw chances?"

EV per $1 on each card

EV = "expected value." It's roughly how many cents, on average, come back to you for every $1 spent on that game right now. 79¢ means that, on average, a dollar returns about 79 cents.

So what: No game ever returns a full dollar — that's the house edge. But a game at 79¢ bleeds you slower than one at 64¢. Higher EV = losing less over time. This is the single best "value" number.

Concentration

How much more likely the top prize is in today's leftover tickets versus when the game launched. 1.0x = same as launch. 1.5x = top prizes are 50% more bunched-up in what's left.

So what: A high number means people bought lots of tickets but the big prizes haven't been hit yet — so the remaining tickets are "richer" than a fresh game. This is the heart of timing your purchase.

Freshness

An overall "richness" score for the leftover tickets across all prize levels (not just the top). Above 1.0 = the remaining tickets are richer than the game's launch-day average; below 1.0 = drained.

So what: Concentration is about the jackpot; Freshness is about every prize. A high-freshness game is one where less value has been claimed than tickets sold would suggest — good all around.

hot green tag on a card

A quick flag we add to any game whose Concentration is 1.4x or higher.

So what: It's just a shortcut so you can spot the unusually well-stocked games at a glance without reading every number.

Top Prize Odds Now

Your chance of hitting the top prize on a single ticket today, shown as "1 in X." It accounts for how many top prizes and tickets are left right now.

So what: This is the honest, current odds of the jackpot per ticket. Smaller X = better shot. Use it to compare the raw jackpot chance between two games.

Jackpot per $1 Spent

The top-prize odds adjusted for ticket price — your jackpot chance per dollar, not per ticket. Also "1 in X," smaller is better.

So what: Here's the difference from the line above. "Top Prize Odds Now" treats a $1 ticket and a $100 ticket the same — one shot each. But the $100 ticket costs 100× more. "Jackpot per $1 Spent" levels the playing field by asking: for the same money, which game gives the better jackpot shot? It's the fair way to compare a cheap game against an expensive one.

Tickets sold & Top prizes left

Tickets sold is the estimated share of the game's tickets already purchased statewide. Top prizes left shows how many jackpots remain out of how many were printed (e.g. "2 of 4").

So what: The sweet spot is lots of tickets sold but top prizes still unclaimed — that's exactly when the leftovers are richest. Few prizes left isn't automatically bad; pair it with Concentration to judge.

closing amber tag

The Texas Lottery has announced an end date for this game; after it closes you can still redeem winners for 180 days.

So what: A closing game that still has top prizes is a narrowing window — those prizes are spread across fewer and fewer tickets. The Top Picks banner flags the best one automatically.

The honest reminder

All of these are statewide estimates from official data that we scour daily to make sure you have the best information possible. However, they still can't see any one store's shelf, and they never change the fixed odds printed on a ticket. They help you pick smarter, not win more. 1-800-GAMBLER. 18+.

Find stores near you

On desktop, this shows retailers that carry this specific game. On mobile, it shows general lottery retailers nearby. Either way, call ahead to confirm they have your game in stock before making the trip.

Welcome to Scratch Smart Texas 👋

Scratch-off game calculated ranking system

This tool uses the Texas Lottery's own published data to rank every active scratch-off game, so you can spend smarter. It can't beat the lottery — every ticket loses money over time — but it helps you skip the worst games and spot the best-stocked ones.

Refreshed every day — we pull the latest Texas Lottery numbers daily so you're always working with current information.

Quick tour:

ScratchSmartTexas · v1.2.3